LOL. BS... Clif.
Russia LOST BIG.
They lost any chance of dominating the Arctic Ice. All icebreaker ship and Arctic ship suppliers (Korea, Germany, etc.) have cancelled all orders.
NATO is building the anti-DMZ, arming everything across Russia's borders. Sweden and Finland are joining NATO.
Ukraine is basically small potatoes compared to this.
Ruble is diminished.
Their economy is set back 100 years. No ICs, no materials, no computers, No modern manufacturing.
Say hello to WWII-level cars, trucks, tanks, missiles, etc.
And... No McDs, Coach, Dominos, MasterCard, Visa, Starbucks, etc.
For those of you who think "good riddance to the West", give it some thought first before deciding.
You will realize how tough it is when every single major brand in your area disappears.
Don't forget that includes soaps, shampoos, furniture (ex. IKEA), cars, computers, phones, etc.
Not to mention your local supermarkets having a very tough time supplying their food products.
They are just covering their asses by saying plan A, they are "withdrawing" and focusing on Donbas.
Leaving a ton of equipment and their brand new electronic warfare vehicle behind for the West to take apart and analyze.
They already gave up on "denazifying" and "demilitarization". This is the "progress" mentioned in today's peace talks.
Russia is practically back to square one, except with huge default cascade looming, a collapsing economy with close to 40% unemployment,
customers who are scaling back their energy purchases gradually (the current buyers are getting them at huge discounts i.e., little profit for Russia).
There is the real possibility of the people in Donbas and Lugansk completely rebelling against joining Russia after seeing Russia's aggression and ruthlessness. There is growing hate across Crimea as well, both Ukrainian-speaking and Russian-speaking people.
Good luck trying to hold onto these three regions.
Zelensky did note there will need to be referendums in all three regions, and a national referendum to accept any peace treaty AND any border changes. Good luck to Russia winning any of those now. The war showed Ukrainians Russia's true face, not to mention the severe speech restrictions placed on the Russian public.
p.s. Don't believe me? Go see China. They are doing 180 pivot, laughing at Russia's military miscues on their social media platforms, and slowly cutting off financial support and material support in an underhanded manner.
This tells you Xi has realized a united West and Pacific Rim is more fearsome than any war.